Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for WINSTON-16
in Fiji
17 Feb 2016 00 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone WINSTON-16 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Fiji
    Exposed population 230 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (20 Feb 10:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 222 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      222 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 20000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 10 Feb 2016 12:00 194 No people No people
        Green 2 11 Feb 2016 00:00 185 No people No people
        Green 3 11 Feb 2016 12:00 204 No people No people Vanuatu
        Green 4 12 Feb 2016 00:00 194 No people No people Vanuatu
        Orange 5 12 Feb 2016 12:00 139 No people No people Tonga
        Green 6 13 Feb 2016 00:00 194 No people No people Vanuatu, Fiji, Tonga
        Green 7 13 Feb 2016 12:00 176 No people No people Vanuatu, Tonga
        Green 8 14 Feb 2016 00:00 148 No people No people Vanuatu, Tonga
        Green 9 14 Feb 2016 12:00 148 No people No people Tonga, Vanuatu
        Green 10 15 Feb 2016 00:00 157 No people No people Tonga, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu
        Green 11 15 Feb 2016 12:00 157 No people No people Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu
        Green 12 16 Feb 2016 00:00 167 No people No people Tonga, Niue, Vanuatu
        Green 13 16 Feb 2016 06:00 176 No people No people Tonga, Niue, Vanuatu
        Green 14 16 Feb 2016 12:00 185 No people No people Tonga, Niue, Vanuatu
        Red 15 16 Feb 2016 18:00 204 No people No people Tonga
        Red 16 17 Feb 2016 00:00 222 No people No people Tonga

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 10 Feb 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -15.3, 170.9
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Feb 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -15.7, 171.1
          GREEN
          		 3 11 Feb 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people -16.7, 171.6
          GREEN
          		 4 12 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 1 120 no people 17000 people -18, 171.6 Vanuatu
          GREEN
          		 5 12 Feb 2016 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 1000 people -19.7, 171.5 Vanuatu
          GREEN
          		 6 13 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 3 194 <1000 people <1000 people -22.2, 171.8
          GREEN
          		 7 13 Feb 2016 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -24.2, 172.9
          GREEN
          		 8 14 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -25.3, 174.9
          GREEN
          		 9 14 Feb 2016 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -25, 177.6
          GREEN
          		 10 15 Feb 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 1200 people -23, 179.6
          GREEN
          		 11 15 Feb 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 90000 people -20.6, -178.1 Tonga
          GREEN
          		 12 16 Feb 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 110000 people -19.2, -175.5 Tonga
          GREEN
          		 13 16 Feb 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 100000 people -18.5, -174.5 Tonga
          GREEN
          		 14 16 Feb 2016 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 23000 people -17.9, -173.6 Tonga
          GREEN
          		 15 16 Feb 2016 18:00 Category 1 139 no people 15000 people -17.5, -172.4 Niue
          GREEN
          		 16 17 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 1200 people -17.5, -171.8 Niue
          GREEN
          		 16 17 Feb 2016 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 1200 people -17.5, -170.5 Niue
          GREEN
          		 16 18 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 4 222 no people 1200 people -17.6, -170.3 Niue
          GREEN
          		 16 18 Feb 2016 12:00 Category 4 231 no people 17000 people -17.7, -170.5 Niue
          RED
          		 16 19 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 4 222 15000 people 23000 people -17.9, -171.6 Tonga
          RED
          		 16 20 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 3 204 20000 people 26000 people -18.8, -173.7 Tonga
          GREEN
          		 16 21 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 3 185 5000 people 88000 people -19.5, -174 Tonga
          GREEN
          		 16 22 Feb 2016 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -20.2, -173.6
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Provinces

          Country Region Province
          Tonga Tonga

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Vavau International VAV 72 Civ. Unpaved Yes 5500
          Haapai HPA 12 Civ. Unpaved Yes 3900

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Hunter Island New Caledonia
          Matthew Island New Caledonia
          Pangai TOPAN Tonga
          Neiafu TONEI Tonga
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Levuka, Fiji. This height is estimated for 20 Feb 2016 10:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (106 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 47 of 24 Feb 2016 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          20 Feb 2016 10:00 Levuka Fiji  0.5
          21 Feb 2016 11:00 Bouwanga Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 11:00 Taunovo Fiji  0.4
          20 Feb 2016 14:00 Vanuavatu Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Nausori Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 07:00 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 09:00 Waisomo Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 09:00 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 15:00 Nadi Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 15:00 Namaka Fiji  0.4
          20 Feb 2016 11:00 Liku Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 14:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 09:00 Yanutha Fiji  0.4
          21 Feb 2016 08:00 Dromuna Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 07:00 Cautata Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 04:00 Lokia Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.3
          20 Feb 2016 23:00 Vandravandra Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 04:00 Navuti Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 04:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 08:00 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 09:00 Galoa Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 07:00 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Laucala Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Lauthala Bay Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 15:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 08:00 Lalati Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 05:00 Suva Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 18:00 Momi Fiji  0.3
          21 Feb 2016 13:00 Soso Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 05:00 Kalokolevu Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 09:00 Korovisilou Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 12:00 Togowere Fiji  0.2
          20 Feb 2016 09:00 Tuvutha Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 06:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 08:00 Namara Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 14:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 02:00 Tamavua Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 12:00 Sigatoka Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 12:00 Laselase Fiji  0.2
          25 Feb 2016 06:00 Gadji New Caledonia  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 01:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 06:00 Mau Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 07:00 Vabea Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 13:00 Cuvu Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 05:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 08:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 04:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 07:00 Naikorokoro Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 08:00 Mokoisa Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 20:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 02:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 13:00 Mbatiri Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 19:00 Solevu Fiji  0.2
          25 Feb 2016 06:00 Kuto New Caledonia  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 08:00 Kavala Fiji  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 10:00 Vunisea Fiji  0.2
          25 Feb 2016 06:00 Vao New Caledonia  0.2
          21 Feb 2016 00:00 Vione Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 02:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 14:00 Nacula Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 14:00 Navotua Fiji  0.1
          16 Feb 2016 07:00 Neiafu Tonga  0.1
          20 Feb 2016 20:00 Keteira Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 01:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 06:00 Gasele Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 06:00 Soso Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 14:00 Lomawal Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 23:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
          20 Feb 2016 09:00 Thikombia Fiji  0.1
          20 Feb 2016 21:00 Dalice Fiji  0.1
          20 Feb 2016 22:00 Sawaieke Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 00:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 00:00 Naingani Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 17:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 07:00 Navua Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 07:00 Kaduvu Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 12:00 Sisili Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 10:00 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 16:00 Tamusua Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 00:00 Makongai Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 12:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 11:00 Korovou Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 06:00 Nukuvou Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 11:00 Korolevu Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 11:00 Talaulia Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 11:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 10:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
          20 Feb 2016 19:00 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
          20 Feb 2016 08:00 Namuka Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 01:00 Levuka Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 02:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 07:00 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 09:00 Mburelevu Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 12:00 Vatukarasa Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 10:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 10:00 Nalotu Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 15:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 15:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.1
          20 Feb 2016 20:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
          21 Feb 2016 03:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.1